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    Epidemic Potential for Malaria in Epidemiological Zones in Kenya

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    Date
    2012
    Author
    Ogola, Wandera
    Type
    Other
    Language
    en
    Metadata
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    Abstract
    Malaria is a vector-borne disease which annually results in over one million deaths and five hundred million clinical episodes, most of which occur in sub-Sahara Africa. Since the disease is influenced by climate factors, it is important to assess the possible risk posed by climate change on malaria transmission. A number of indices can be used to assess this risk but the most appropriate appears to be the epidemic potential, which is derived from the basic reproduction number, R0. We determine the epidemic potential for selected areas within the four epidemiological zones in Kenya, using modeled temperature and rainfall data. For the years 2009 to 2011, for which detailed malaria data is available, we compare the variation in epidemic potential with malaria incidence. Results show that the variation in epidemic potential, from month to month, reflects a pattern similar to the variation in malaria incidence
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/11295/65585
    Citation
    Ogana W. (2012). Epidemic Potential for Malaria in Epidemiological Zones in Kenya in: Eastern Africa Universities Mathematics program (EAUMP - Network Origin, Operation, Achievements the Future and Challenges p. 156.
    Publisher
    University of Nairobi
    Description
    It is an abstract
    Collections
    • School Of Mathematics [35]

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